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Toby Shevlane - Ben & I started Mantic with the mission to solve forecasting. Th

Mantic · Sep 2026 · 1:34 · AI-annotated

Length
1:34
Scenes
38 · 2.5 s avg
Product on screen
0:00
Features shown
1
Call to action
1:22 · 87%
Voiceover
Yes
00:00:00 / 01:34:24

Mantic’s 1:34 launch film runs 38 scenes, about 2.5 s each. The product is on screen from the first frame and 1 feature is revealed, with social proof. The call to action lands at 1:22 (87% in), over a voiceover. The video alternates between founder interviews and sleek data visualizations to build trust and demonstrate product utility. It uses a clean, bright aesthetic with rapid cuts to maintain momentum and emphasize the speed of the prediction engine.

Footage neededEstimated needs: 2 capture groups — your screens or recordings · 1 official logo — reused across the film · 28 filmed passages — shoot, supply or replace · 2 graphic passages — draw or supply

Is this your launch? to your site or press kit.

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Toby Shevlane - Ben & I started Mantic with the mission to solve forecasting. Th, scene by scene

· 38 scenes as text
  1. 01 · Product intro · 0:00–0:00

    Two men in an open office: one in a white T-shirt bends over a bench, the other in a black T-shirt stands beside him. A whip transition to a solid green background reveals the Mantic bird logo and wordmark as a diagonal light streak crosses it.

    Techniques: Light sweep

    Camera: Pull out

  2. 02 · Product intro · 0:00–0:05

    Two founders sit in a bright office, the left one gesturing while speaking to camera. Lower-third name labels with blue logo squares appear beneath each, then the frame fades to white.

    On-screen text: “Toby Shevlane”, “Co-founder, Mantic”, “Ben Day”, “Co-founder, Mantic”

    Camera: Push in

  3. 03 · Product intro · 0:05–0:10

    A light gray card holds a serif headline that fades in from pale gray to black, then a blue rectangle fills in behind the words 'all humans' and flips them to white. A small blue kicker and the Mantic logo sit above a thin rule.

    On-screen text: “SUMMER 2026”, “AI startup beats all humans”, “in the Metaculus Cup”

    Camera: Static

  4. 04 · Product intro · 0:10–0:13

    Two men sit on chairs in a bright office, soft-focused, while a large white figure counts from $24M to $25M at center and investor logos fade in on both sides; the overlay dissolves and the shot racks into focus on the men.

    On-screen text: “$24M”, “$25M”, “Radical Ventures”, “Balderton.”, “DRIV”, “E1 Episode one”, “THINKING MACHINES”, “FT VENTURES”, “M2”, “Charlie Songhurst”

    Techniques: Kinetic type

    Camera: Static

  5. 05 · Problem · 0:13–0:14

    A yellow overexposure clears to reveal the Tokyo Skytree tower rising behind a white and brick building, framed by a dark window edge at the top left. The low-angle shot looks up at the tower against a blue sky.

    Camera: Static

  6. 06 · Problem · 0:14–0:15

    Three men stand talking in an open-plan office, one in a white tee and two in black, while a woman works at a desk by the window. The camera drifts slowly forward through the room.

    Camera: Static

  7. 07 · Problem · 0:15–0:16

    Two men walk toward the camera down a brick residential street, one in a white Mantic tee, one in a black tee, gesturing mid-conversation. The camera tracks backward with them, holding a medium frame as parked cars and townhouses pass in the background.

    Camera: Static

  8. 08 · Problem · 0:16–0:17

    Two people walk left to right along a city sidewalk past a cream facade with arched windows, flower boxes and black iron fencing; the frame stays locked off. A small Mantic wordmark scales in near the bottom edge.

    On-screen text: “Mantic”

    Camera: Static

  9. 09 · Problem · 0:17–0:17

    A street-level shot of a London pub corner, its blue facade reading Crown and Sceptre. A red bicycle stands locked in the foreground while a man in a white shirt walks past and a woman in black holds the right edge. Soft evening light.

    Camera: Static

  10. 10 · Problem · 0:17–0:19

    Two men walk toward the camera on a sidewalk past red brick townhouses, shot from a low tilted angle. The man in a white tee gestures as he talks, the man in black follows behind. The camera tracks backward at their pace.

    Camera: Pull out

  11. 11 · Problem · 0:19–0:20

    A red-haired man in a white t-shirt speaks in a medium close-up, facing slightly off-camera. He sits in a bright office with a window, a monitor and a leafy plant blurred in the background, and gestures with his hands as he talks.

    Camera: Static

  12. 12 · Problem · 0:20–0:26

    A red-haired man in a white Mantic T-shirt sits in a blurred office, speaking and gesturing to camera. White line drawings of a sun, table and stick figure appear at left, then a city skyline and a blue node network draw themselves in at right.

    Camera: Static

  13. 13 · Problem · 0:26–0:27

    Two men sit in a bright office, the red-haired one in a white Mantic t-shirt and the other in black, speaking to camera. A leafy plant and a coworker at a desk fill the blurred background. The frame stays locked-off.

    Camera: Static

  14. 14 · Problem · 0:27–0:28

    Two men sit side by side in a sunlit office, the man in a black shirt gesturing with his hands as he speaks while the man in a white Mantic tee listens. A small white pill with a thin blue line hovers at the left edge of the frame.

    Camera: Static

  15. 15 · Problem · 0:28–0:33

    Two men sit on a bench in a bright office, facing the camera; the right one gestures while speaking. A blue curved line with round nodes draws across the frame and fades out. Coworkers work at desks behind them.

    Camera: Push in

  16. 16 · Feature reveal · 0:33–0:35

    A red-haired man in a white Mantic t-shirt sits beside a man in a black t-shirt in an office, gesturing with his right hand as he speaks. The camera holds a static medium shot with desks, plants and monitors soft in the background.

    Camera: Static

  17. 17 · Feature reveal · 0:35–0:39

    Two men sit on a bench in a bright open office. The man in the white Mantic t-shirt speaks and gestures, pointing then resting his hand on his chest, while the man in the black t-shirt sits still with clasped hands. Coworkers and desks fill the blurred background.

    Camera: Push in

  18. 18 · Feature reveal · 0:39–0:41

    Top-down view of an open laptop on a dark desk, its screen filled with a dense document. A hand enters from the right and folds the lid shut, the screen going dark and the frame blurring as it closes.

    Camera: Push in

  19. 19 · Feature reveal · 0:41–0:42

    A laptop sits on a desk at a three-quarter angle against a warm, blurred interior. Its screen shows the Mantic app with an 'AI compute market' heading, a triggered-predictions list and a questions table. The heading and a numeric value scale gently on screen while the locked-off camera holds the device steady.

    Techniques: 3D mockup

    Camera: Push in

  20. 20 · Feature reveal · 0:42–0:45

    A browser window shows the Mantic dashboard. The list of scenario rows scrolls down and the view zooms in, revealing grouped sections for Supply Chain, Hyperscalers and Taiwan, each pairing a question with a probability and a colored change value. A cursor drifts across the right column.

    Techniques: UI zoom, Cursor demo

    Camera: Push in

  21. 21 · Feature reveal · 0:45–0:53

    A browser window shows the Mantic question page, then scrolls to the cumulative probability chart. The cursor hovers over points on the curve, pulling up labeled tooltips, and the timeline pans across the years. A notification card slides in at the top right.

    Techniques: UI zoom, Cursor demo

    Camera: Push in

  22. 22 · Feature reveal · 0:53–0:54

    A white notification card titled Probability moved, showing 18% to 63% in red and green, scales up and centers over a blurred dashboard, pulling focus to the alert while the chart and timeline behind it soften.

    Techniques: UI zoom

    Camera: Push in

  23. 23 · Feature reveal · 0:54–0:55

    A white notification card scales into focus at center over a blurred app background. It holds a blue logo, the heading 'Probability moved', a red 18% to green 63% with a green 45 pts pill, and a body line; the heading and figures scale in while the body slides in.

    Camera: Static

  24. 24 · Social proof · 0:55–0:56

    Office workers sit at a desk in profile, a red-haired man with white earbuds in the foreground and two colleagues behind; a cross-dissolve blends the two camera angles. A small stat readout scales in over the footage, followed by a notification line that slides in.

    On-screen text: “18%→63% ↑45pts”, “Probability moved”, “Export controls on frontier models – your exposure brief is ready.”, “justnow”

    Camera: Static

  25. 25 · Social proof · 0:56–0:57

    A soft-focus over-the-shoulder shot of a man with curly hair and glasses resting his hand on his chin. He looks at a computer monitor displaying a dark-mode text interface in an office setting.

    Camera: Push in

  26. 26 · Social proof · 0:57–0:58

    A close-up of two hands typing on a black split ergonomic keyboard with gray keycaps. A gold ring sits on the left hand. The frame is shot over a blurred monitor edge and a blue bottle, with a white desk and a second keyboard soft in the background.

    Camera: Push in

  27. 27 · Social proof · 0:58–0:59

    A person with dark curly hair sits at a desk, seen from behind, facing a large monitor that displays a light diagram of connected nodes. A blurred white curved object fills the lower foreground. The office window behind shows soft daylight.

    Camera: Static

  28. 28 · Social proof · 0:59–1:00

    A bright open-plan office fills the frame as several people work at desks with dual monitors. The camera drifts slowly left across the room, revealing the plants by the windows and more of the workspace.

    Camera: Pull out

  29. 29 · Social proof · 1:00–1:01

    A pale sage background fades in over a faint office as a line chart draws left to right. A blue and a green line trace a curve, the blue spiking to a flat plateau. A serif title and sans subtitle sit top left above a date axis.

    On-screen text: “Pope Leo XIV's foreign travel”, “Chance he visits a country outside Spain”, “18 May”, “15 Jun”, “13 Jul”

    Techniques: Masking

    Camera: Static

  30. 30 · Social proof · 1:01–1:04

    A two-line forecast chart on a pale green field shows the green Community and blue Mantic lines rising to a plateau. A Travelling badge flips to Travelled with a check, dots drop dashed guides to the axis, an arrow reads 7 days earlier, then the chart fades out.

    Camera: Static

  31. 31 · Social proof · 1:04–1:07

    A light gray chart titled “Colombian election winner” fades in; a blue line and a green line draw left to right, then “Mantic” and “Community” labels plus a “Won” badge appear at the right, and dashed markers drop to a bracket labeled “20 days earlier”.

    On-screen text: “Colombian election winner”, “Probability on Abelardo de la Espriella”, “Won”, “Community”, “Mantic”, “20 days earlier”

    Camera: Static

  32. 32 · Social proof · 1:07–1:09

    Two men sit side by side in a bright open office, one in a white Mantic tee, one in a black tee, speaking toward camera. Plants and blurred coworkers fill the background. Static medium shot, natural light, conversational pace.

    Camera: Static

  33. 33 · Social proof · 1:09–1:14

    Two men sit side by side in a bright office, the one in a white Mantic t-shirt talks and gestures with his hands while the one in a black t-shirt listens, both facing the camera. A plant and desks sit behind them.

    Camera: Static

  34. 34 · Social proof · 1:14–1:22

    Two men sit side by side in an open office, facing the camera. The man in a white Mantic t-shirt gestures with his right hand as he speaks; the man in a black t-shirt keeps his hands clasped. Employees work at desks behind them. The frame slowly pushes in.

    Camera: Push in

  35. 35 · CTA · 1:22–1:24

    Two men sit side by side in a bright office. The man in a white Mantic t-shirt gestures with his hands while speaking, the man in a black t-shirt sits still beside him. Plants, desks and a window fill the background.

    Camera: Static

  36. 36 · CTA · 1:24–1:30

    Two men sit side by side on a bench in a bright open office, facing the camera. The man in a white Mantic t-shirt gestures while speaking, then clasps his hands; the man in black sits still. Desks, monitors and plants fill the blurred background.

    On-screen text: “用”

    Camera: Static

  37. 37 · Outro · 1:30–1:34

    A heavily blurred office scene with people forms the backdrop. The white Mantic mark and wordmark sit centered, the wordmark completing letter by letter, then mantic.com and the substack line fade in below.

    On-screen text: “mantic.com”, “research substack · blog.mantic.com”

    Techniques: Kinetic type

    Camera: Static

  38. 38 · Outro · 1:34–1:34

    A centered Mantic logo lockup with the wordmark appears over a soft blurred background, the URL and a small tagline sit below. The whole frame fades to black by the end.

    On-screen text: “mantic.com”, “research substack · blog.mantic.com”

    Camera: Static